So, here we are, two days after this asshole shot and killed 10 people in Boulder, CO and a team of cops, prosecutors and FBI agents still don’t know why the kid did what he did. But The New York Times has already figured it out.
You can read the paper’s analysis in a piece written by Max Fisher, who says that the shooting occurred because Americans own so many guns. That’s it. As Grandpa would say, “prust und prushit.” Which means nothing more needs to be said. Thanks Grandpa.
This so-called research which explains the fatal and non-fatal injuries which 125,000+ Americans suffer each year from gun shots has been going on since the 1990’s and is perhaps most frequently cited in the work of public health specialists like our friend David Hemenway, who regularly publishes articles which correlate the high rate of fatal violence in the United States with all the enormous pile of guns we have lying around.
No other advanced country has so many killings, no other country has so many guns. The United States contains 4% of the entire world’s population but owns 42% of the world’s non-military guns. That explains that.
Our friend Max Fisher seems to think, incidentally, that words like ‘homicide’ and ‘mass shootings’ mean the same thing. He tosses the words back and forth as if one can simply be substituted for the other. If we have a much higher rate of homicide because we own so many guns, when it comes to explaining mass shootings, the same argument can be made.
Incidentally, the word ‘research’ is also bandied about in Fisher’s commentary to describe the works which he referenced in order to end up saying what he said. I must be a really old guy because when I went to graduate school to do research on the origins of capitalism, I had to go out, find some previously undiscovered data, analyze the data, and use the results to make an argument based on what I believed was a new set of verifiable events.
The ‘research’ that Fisher has read to come up with his explanation for mass shootings isn’t based on analyzing previously unknown or unstudied data at all. The scholars who tell us that more guns equal more violence simply take some data which is in the public domain, run it through a regression analysis model and – voila! The result shows them what they want to believe. Want to believe something different? Change the analytical model.
Regression analysis is a very handy tool for comparing how two separate trends change over time. Everyone can understand a cute, little chart with two wavy lines. But if you try to use this methodology to explain how one line’s movement affects the movement of the other line, you’re skating on very thin ice. But so what? At least The New York Times gets something into print, right?
The issue isn’t whether or not Americans own too many guns. The issue is what types of guns are used to commit mass murders and how many of those guns are floating around. So, we have 270 million guns in the civilian arsenal. So what? Most of those guns are the types of guns that are never used to kill anyone. Many of the people who own guns don’t even know where the gun is located in their home.
This kid was arrested in Boulder with an assault pistol, i.e., a short-barreled gun with a collapsible stock and a hand grip for extra control. He obviously knew enough about guns to put together a custom-made model which he could take undetected into a public space and then start blasting away. This type of behavior and planning is quite unlike what happens in virtually 99% of all shootings which occur because two dopes get into an argument, neither backs down and out comes a gun.
If we really want to do something about mass shootings, then at the very least we need to understand exactly what we’re talking about. What we learn from Max Fisher doesn’t really explain anything at all.
Mar 25, 2021 @ 10:56:28
The FBI’s Uniform Crime Report (UCR) for 2019 shows more than four times as many people were killed with a knife than with ANY kind of rifle in 2019, the FBI revealed in its Uniform Crime Report. According to the UCR, 1,476 victims were murdered with “knives or cutting instruments,” whereas 364 people were killed with rifles, including the vague category of “assault rifles.”
Maybe nothing more needs to be said.
Mar 25, 2021 @ 12:21:31
I disagree with a ban/confiscation and instead argue for licensing these guns under an amended National Firearms Act provision that defines them as distinct from machine guns and also distinct from non-semiauto weapons.Give people two years to register them or turn them in for cash. How about non-semiauto needs no license while semiauto and full auto have graded licensing?
Two, I think the petition as written would fail the Miller test and include firearms “in common use” so likely to be litigated to death even if it could pass the Senate. The definition in the petition would include not only modern plastic rifles but stuff like the wood stock Ruger Mini-30 and Mini-14 which are arguably not much different than an AR, but hunting rifles like the Browning BAR Short Trac, which is not terribly likely to be used by a mass shooter but loads from a magazine. Also, I can see an AR that has a non-removable magazine and loads 30 rds from the top. This ship has sailed.
What it seems we should also do is get the BATF to tighten the standards, if necessary by Congress amending the NFA. I had never heard of these “short barrelled rifles” that seem to be neither rifle nor pistol as they lack a shoulder brace. Basically an assault pistol like the Uzi. They sell them in NM. Some of this crap needs to just be taken off the street for the greater good.
I’m all in favor of carefully screened individuals playing with whatever toys they want (the NFA rules on full auto seem to work just fine), but not in favor of every runny nosed goofball walking out of a gun shop looking like Rambo.
Mar 25, 2021 @ 12:30:27
This thing.
https://ruger.com/products/ar556Pistol/models.html
Mar 25, 2021 @ 17:00:47
I believe this sounds good on paper but how is it enforced after the two year period has run its course? Just quickly thinking, Randy Weaver and the ATF raid of the Branch Davidian compound comes to mind. Give me a little time and I’m sure I could come up with many other examples.
Does anyone really think the Proud Boys, QAnon, NFAC, and many other similar organizations and groups would simply register or turn in their firearms for cash?
Mar 25, 2021 @ 19:58:32
Not at all clear, Alan. But if anyone thinks a “Mr. and Mrs. America, turn ’em in” will be easy, I want some of what they are smoking.